According to a survey conducted by Ipsos for Le Parisien newspaper and Radio France on June 19-20, France’s far-right National Rally (RN) party and its allies are expected to secure the highest percentage of votes in the first round of the country’s parliamentary elections, at 35.5%. The poll also shows the left-wing New Popular Front (NPF) alliance in second place with 29.5% of the vote.
President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance secured third place with 19.5% of the votes. The expected turnout rate is anticipated to be between 60% and 64%, significantly higher than the 47.5% recorded in the last general election in June 2022.
Despite leading in the polls ahead of the upcoming two-round election on June 30 and July 7, the RN is unlikely to achieve an absolute majority. Macron called for the ballot following his alliance’s significant loss in the EU elections earlier this month.
The survey indicates that 25% of respondents trust Marine Le Pen’s RN the most to make the right decisions on economic issues, compared to 22% for the New Popular Front and 20% for Macron’s alliance.
The National Rally’s lead in pre-election polls for the two-round election on June 30 and July 7 is not expected to secure the party an absolute majority. Macron scheduled the ballot following his alliance’s significant defeat in the recent EU elections.
In another Ipsos survey published by the Financial Times, the National Rally is perceived as the most reliable party in managing the economy and public finances.
